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Título:
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Be-FAST and Be-CoDiS: mathematical models to predict the spread of human and livestocks diseases with real data. Application to the 2014 Ebola Virus Disease epidemic and livestock diseases
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Autores:
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Ivorra, Benjamin ;
Ramos del Olmo, Ángel Manuel ;
Fernández Carrión, Eduardo ;
Martínez López, Beatriz ;
Ngom, Diène ;
Sánchez-Vizcaíno, José Manuel
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Tipo de documento:
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texto impreso
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Fecha de publicación:
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2014-11-05
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Dimensiones:
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application/pdf
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Nota general:
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info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
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Idiomas:
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Palabras clave:
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Estado = Presentado
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Materia = Ciencias: Matemáticas: Investigación operativa
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Materia = Ciencias Biomédicas: Medicina: Enfermedades infecciosas
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Materia = Ciencias Biomédicas: Biología: Biomatemáticas
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Tipo = Ponencia o Póster de Seminario
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Congreso
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etc
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Resumen:
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During this presentation, we introduce the mathematical formulation of a new spatial-temporal epidemiological model, called Be-CoDiS (Between-COuntries Disease Spread). Be-CoDiS is based on the combination of an Individual-Based model (modelling the interaction between countries, considered as individuals) for the between-countries spread with a compartmental model, based on ordinary differential equations, for the within-country spread. The goal is to simulate the spread of a particular disease and identify the risk zones worldwide. This model is a particular adaptation of a previous epidemiological software, called Be-FAST, used to predict the spatial spread of livestock diseases. Both Be-FAST and Be-CoDiS models are detailed and some real applications, such as the study of the 2014 Ebola Virus Disease epidemic or the Classical Swine Fever in Spain, are shown.
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En línea:
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https://eprints.ucm.es/id/eprint/30312/1/Ivorra44.pdf
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